Who Will Win? Predicting The 2024 NHL Hart Trophy Winner From The Finalists

Mei Lin

4 min read

Post on May 15, 2025

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Analyzing Connor McDavid's Chances (Top Contender)

McDavid's Historical Performance and Statistical Dominance

Connor McDavid is, without a doubt, the frontrunner in the race for the 2024 NHL Hart Trophy. His consistent dominance makes him a perennial favorite for the award. His previous Hart Trophy wins (2017, 2021, 2023) speak volumes about his exceptional talent and sustained high level of play. McDavid's points-per-game average consistently ranks among the league's elite.

• Astonishing Point Totals: Consistently leads the league in scoring.
• Multiple Hart Trophies: Already a multiple-time winner, demonstrating sustained excellence.
• Elite Playmaking Ability: Not just a goal scorer, he is an exceptional playmaker, contributing a significant number of assists.

Potential Challenges for McDavid's Hart Trophy Chances

Despite his undeniable skill, McDavid's path to another Hart Trophy isn't without its obstacles.

• Team Performance: The Edmonton Oilers' playoff success, or lack thereof, will significantly impact his chances. A deep playoff run would bolster his case.
• Injuries: Staying healthy throughout the grueling NHL season is crucial. Any significant injury could derail his bid for the 2024 Hart Trophy.
• Stiff Competition: The presence of other strong contenders amongst the NHL finalists will make it a challenging race.

Assessing Leon Draisaitl's Contention (Strong Challenger)

Draisaitl's Offensive Prowess and Complementary Role to McDavid

Leon Draisaitl, McDavid's teammate, presents a compelling case as a strong challenger for the Hart Trophy. He consistently posts impressive point totals and plays a crucial role in the Oilers' offensive strategy. His ability to both score goals and distribute assists makes him a valuable asset.

• High Point Totals: A consistently high-scoring forward, often placing among the league leaders.
• Exceptional Assist Numbers: A remarkable playmaker who consistently sets up his teammates for scoring opportunities.
• Power-Play Contributions: A key player on the Oilers' power play, contributing significantly to their offensive output.

Potential Challenges for Draisaitl's Hart Trophy Bid

While Draisaitl possesses incredible offensive talent, his chances are somewhat hampered by:

• McDavid's Shadow: Playing alongside McDavid, his individual achievements might be overshadowed by his teammate’s unparalleled brilliance. The voters may struggle to differentiate between their contributions.
• Team Performance: Like McDavid, Draisaitl's chances are intertwined with the Oilers' overall success.

Evaluating Other Potential Dark Horses for the 2024 NHL Hart Trophy

While McDavid and Draisaitl are the clear frontrunners, several other players could emerge as surprising contenders for the 2024 Hart Trophy.

• Nathan MacKinnon (Colorado Avalanche): MacKinnon’s exceptional skating ability and offensive instincts make him a dark horse. His team's success will be a major factor in his Hart Trophy candidacy.
• Auston Matthews (Toronto Maple Leafs): A prolific goal scorer, Matthews' ability to consistently find the back of the net could propel him into the Hart Trophy conversation if the Maple Leafs have a strong season.

Factors Beyond Individual Statistics Affecting the 2024 NHL Hart Trophy Race

Importance of Team Success in the Hart Trophy Voting

Individual brilliance alone doesn't guarantee a Hart Trophy win. A player's team performance significantly influences voters' decisions. A player on a Stanley Cup contender, even if he doesn't lead the league in scoring, often has a better chance.

• Regular Season Record: A strong regular season record for the team enhances a player's chances.
• Playoff Performance: Deep playoff runs considerably boost the player's profile and increase their Hart Trophy chances.

Impact of Narrative and Media Attention

Beyond statistics, a compelling player narrative or significant media attention can sway the Hart Trophy voting. A player who embodies a captivating story or receives significant media coverage might gain an edge, even if statistically close to another candidate.

• Overcoming Adversity: A player who demonstrates resilience in the face of adversity often gains favor with voters.
• Positive Media Coverage: Positive media attention, showcasing a player's leadership qualities and character, can improve their chances.

Conclusion: Who Will Win the 2024 NHL Hart Trophy?

Analyzing the potential 2024 NHL Hart Trophy winners, Connor McDavid remains the favorite, given his historical dominance and offensive prowess. However, Leon Draisaitl poses a significant challenge, while dark horses like Nathan MacKinnon and Auston Matthews could surprise. Ultimately, team success and the intangible factors of narrative and media attention will significantly influence the outcome. Predicting the winner is inherently difficult, but based on current form and potential, Connor McDavid appears best positioned to claim his fourth Hart Trophy. Who do you think will win the 2024 NHL Hart Trophy? Share your predictions and join the discussion in the comments below!